Tofubones
Probability Tables for Basic Attack and Combat Manoeuvres
  1. Let me know if I did any math wrong
  2. Re-Roll means the probability of one success in two rolls.  The second roll has the same probability as the first not the number listed below the re-roll.
  3. The missing values are the limit with my use of Excel.  If someone with programming or math skills can provide the numbers I will add them in.
  4. Combat Manoeuvres assume at least 1 hit is required for success


Probability of Basic Attack
Dice RolledGlanceSolidCritCrit with Re-RollTotal Chance of DamageWith
Re-Roll
10.5000.0000.0000.0000.5000.750
20.5000.2500.0000.0000.7500.938
30.3750.3750.1250.2340.8750.984
40.2500.3750.3130.5270.9380.996
50.1560.3130.5000.7500.9690.999
60.0940.2340.6560.8820.9841.000
70.0550.1640.7730.9490.9921.000
80.0310.1090.8550.9790.9961.000
90.0180.0700.9100.9920.9981.000
100.0100.0440.9450.9970.9991.000

 

Probability of Combat Manoeuvres
Dice Rolled3J2J1J1J+1S1S2S
10.0000.0000.1670.0000.1670.000
20.0000.0280.3060.0830.4170.083
30.0050.0740.4210.1990.6160.227
40.0160.1320.5180.3200.7530.382
50.0350.1960.5980.4340.8410.522
60.0620.2630.6650.5330.8980.639
70.0960.3300.7210.6180.9340.731
80.1350.3950.7670.6890.9570.802
90.1780.4570.8060.748*0.972*0.855*
100.2250.5150.8380.795*0.982*0.895*

*Values from simulation https://judgementdice.robsampson.repl.co/

 
     
    Quote 4 0
    Guns
    @Tort - are you able to fill in the blanks here?
    Quote 1 0
    neznein9
    I cobbled together some javascript to brute-force simulate these numbers. I allowed my version to interchange Js for move symbols when appropriate. I also see some difference in my 1J and 2J numbers but I'm not sure where the difference is there yet.

    https://judgementdice.robsampson.repl.co/
    Quote 0 0
    Tofubones
    It looks like for the 1J and 2J you are only counting the probability of getting exactly 1 or 2 Js, not at least 1 or 2 Js. 

    Looks like that that might be happening with the other combat maneuvers as well. 
    Quote 0 0
    neznein9
    Ahh, thanks. Corrected my sim and added more checks to make sure maneuvers are satisfying the damage requirement as well. 
    Quote 0 0
    Tort
    Mine have colours.  Screenshot_20190623-102548_Sheets.jpg  Screenshot_20190623-102733_Sheets.jpg  Screenshot_20190623-102945_Sheets.jpg 
    Quote 0 0
    Tort
    Screenshot_20190623-103136_Sheets.jpg  Screenshot_20190623-103224_Sheets.jpg 
    Quote 0 0

    Judgement - The 54mm scale, MOBA inspired, table-top miniatures game

    https://judgement.game